GAMING THE ELECTION OUTCOME
Frankly, I have had difficulty mustering up the interest for this post.
Partly, this is due to my irritation with the Bush administration bungling Iraq and partly because I simply cannot discern which way the trends are actually going, beyond a general Democratic lead. With the media having overestimated the actual Democratic performance in 1994, 2000, 2002 and 2004, they have lost all credibility with me. Honest error swings in more than one direction, in terms of probability.
On the other hand, the Republican leadership has been so depressingly mediocre that they deserve to lose. If the GOP squeaks by short of total disaster it will have little to do with them and more to do with gerrymandering and the refusal of Democrats to offer anything new to the voters.
So, my guess, and I claim it is nothing more than that, is that come Wednesday it is a narrowly Democratic House ( 4-8 votes) and a deadlocked Senate - with control hinging on several bitterly contested elections where charges of voter fraud will be hurled and recounts ordered.
But I could be wrong.