BARNETT ON NON-STATE WARFAREDr. Barnett
dives into the nonstate conflict paradigm with two posts:
"The clearest proof this is no state-on-state war in Lebanon
"The new COIN is progress, not perfection
""Call Nasrallah what you want, but his impact is little different from any other Arab despot. We're just watching him on the rise. In that sense, while I find Hezbollah's tactics quite 4GW, his ends are eminently predictable and familar"
An important data point - there are no 4GW warriors around fighting for greater connectivity, no Global Guerillas for an Open Society, just open-source warfare. The implications of that are longitudinal as well as normative.UPDATE:John Robb
was kind enough to comment on my post
and on another one of Tom's as well
From the latter:"Unfortunately, Tom's voice/your's/and mine, will mean little. This war is going to be launched on the cheap or through mistake and will escalate quickly to regional scale from that point on. Think counter-insurgency from the Med to the Hindu Kush. "