Thursday, June 21, 2007
THINKING STRATEGICALLY ABOUT STRATEGIC THINKING
Art Hutchinson has had a very stimulating series of posts at Mapping Strategy that cover many topics related to strategic thinking and futurism that I cannot let pass without a high recommendation and brief commetary:
1. "Perils of Prediction: The Elusiveness of Certainty and the Value of 'Simulated Hindsight'"
Art lauds Nassim Nicholas Taleb's book, "The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable" and discusses using "simulated hindsight" as a cognitive tool. This is not unlike counterfactual history exercises applied to futurism.
2. "sdrawkcaB gniknihT - Mind Game or Creative Lever?"
Art is concentrating here on reverse order thinking exercises which powerfully disrupt our brain's natural preference for automaticity in "learned" activities, forcing a rexamination of assumptions in terms of process, sequence and causation. Art also explains why some folks are more equal than others with this technique.
3. "Thinker or Tinker - In Pursuit of Practical Strategy"
Partly a blog dialogue between Art and Dave Snowden on narrative and scenario strategies and Art's advocacy of modular, interactive scenarios. Art also keys into the creativity/innovation aspect of recognizing and managing possibilities at what in the Medici Effect would be called " intersections".
Excellent.
Art Hutchinson has had a very stimulating series of posts at Mapping Strategy that cover many topics related to strategic thinking and futurism that I cannot let pass without a high recommendation and brief commetary:
1. "Perils of Prediction: The Elusiveness of Certainty and the Value of 'Simulated Hindsight'"
Art lauds Nassim Nicholas Taleb's book, "The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable" and discusses using "simulated hindsight" as a cognitive tool. This is not unlike counterfactual history exercises applied to futurism.
2. "sdrawkcaB gniknihT - Mind Game or Creative Lever?"
Art is concentrating here on reverse order thinking exercises which powerfully disrupt our brain's natural preference for automaticity in "learned" activities, forcing a rexamination of assumptions in terms of process, sequence and causation. Art also explains why some folks are more equal than others with this technique.
3. "Thinker or Tinker - In Pursuit of Practical Strategy"
Partly a blog dialogue between Art and Dave Snowden on narrative and scenario strategies and Art's advocacy of modular, interactive scenarios. Art also keys into the creativity/innovation aspect of recognizing and managing possibilities at what in the Medici Effect would be called " intersections".
Excellent.
Labels: art hutchinson, black swans, cognition, creativity, futurism, innovation, insight, strategy, uncertainty
¶ 3:34 PM
