ZenPundit
RECOMMENDED READINGMany irons in the fire this morning and I'm slurping down coffee fast and furiously but here it is:
Top Billing!
abu muqawama - "
Petraeus Picks the Next Generation"
I hereby promote this gentleman to the status of " daily read". You should too.
Adam Elkus - "
Resilience and American SecurityNice piece by Adam. Historically, when an armed service is out of the national spotlight as the Navy is today, it becomes a time of either intellectual growth or ossification within it's officer corps.
The Center For Threat Awareness in
"Think Tank 2.0" form has been launched! ( I knew it was coming but a hat tip to
Shlok nonetheless and congrats to
Michael Tanji and his compadres)
Strategic Security Blog - "
White House Guidance Led to New Nuclear Strike Plans Against Proliferators, Document Shows". Hat tip to
Wiggins at
OSD.
I'd this one a must-read for national security wonks. It's also good evidence as to how specialist blogs can easily outclass the reportage of even flagship MSM outlets.
Fabius Maximus, often featured at
DNI, now has a
blog - here are a couple of sample posts
"
Empowered individuals — and super-empowered ones!" and "
The Essential 4GW reading list: chapter Two, Donald Vandergriff".
Dr. Barnett has been spotted
attending Matrix conventions.
That's it!
Labels: recommended reading
RECOMMENDED READINGAn eclectic grouping today. Feel badly that I have not posted much lately but I've been working on some short pieces for other venues, a couple of large projects at work and (today) getting my application papers together for a doctoral program ( hopefully, a joint degree if two departments will sign off. We'll see. I've learned to suspect the breezy assertions of university bureaucrats). Without further ado.
Top Billing! The Man Who is Thursday -"The Creative and the Critical, or Taste and Genius"
This link was left by an anonymous commenter. It's good fodder for discussion and probably deserves a post of it's own in response, by me or
Dan of tdaxp. Like me, Dan's pretty busy these days so, we'll see if anyone gets to it. LOL! In any event, worth your time to read.
Robert Satloff in
WaPo - "
How to Win The War Of Ideas"
One thought that arises reading Satloff, is that we need to distinguish the degree to which non-Salafist or secular Muslims are intimidated by takfiri death threats; to scenarios where they lack the resources to speak out effectively; and finally, the extent to which we are simply unaware of the intra-Muslim dialogue because it is entirely off of our radar.
Pundita -"
Speaking your truth vs fighting the ideas of others"
Pundita critiques Satloff and argues that we are not very well suited to try an orchestrate other society's political debates over the fine points of Islamic theology and that investing deeply in promoting democratic or liberal governance, something we understand, is a wiser investment of scarce resources.
Thomas P.M. Barnett - "
Barnett: Build better fairy dust, suffer fewer bad actors"
Rule-sets and transparency go hand in hand with connectivity and intersectional convergence. Tom jumps on the
The Medici Effect bandwagon. I'm waiting for him to read
Wikinomics and see the congruency of the two books.
Swedish Meatballs Confidential - "
Sinuous Sunday - The Sharp End of Altruism" and "
CATCH-ALL - Suck it Up - All of It"
The first is interesting. The second is important.
Opposed System Design - "
Game Theorizing with Bueno de Mesquita"
"Another study evaluating Bueno de Mesquita’s real-time forecasts of 21 policy decisions in the European community concluded that “the probability that the predicted outcome was what indeed occurred was an astounding 97 percent.”Hmmm .... amazing ....but predicated on the existence of a particular cultural-epistemological basis of rationality ? Will this work with assessing mountain tribesmen in New Guinea or Vietnamese Politburo members ?
That's it!
Labels: recommended reading
RECOMMENDED READINGSunday, Sunday, Sunday...where blog reaction is the attraction!
Sean Meade - "
Catch-22"
Sean puts away his proofreader's blue pencil and dons the Hat of Literary Criticism to make an (accurate) point about generational zeitgeist.
Global Guerillas - "
ON OPEN SOURCE GUERRILLA VANGUARDS"
Great theory post by John Robb. I'd say that the Maoists exploited a latent crisis of legitimacy rather than created one "ex nihilo". Both the Chinese Communists and the Kuomintang were a reaction against the collapse of the Q'ing and the inability
Yuan Shih-kai and various warlords to step into the breach. The history of China from the Boxer Rebellion to Mao's triumph in 1949 was a laboratory for questions of 4GW, state-building, state failure, foreign intervention, guerilla warfare theory, counterinsurgency and many of the issues with which statesmen and military commanders are wrestling with in Iraq.
Shane and
Curtis at
Dreaming5GW - "
5GW in Clausewitz’s Trinity" and "
John Robb: “On Open Source Guerrilla Vanguards” Respectively, Shane is expanding on
the exchange here over Fabius Maximus and Curtis delves into the above post by John. Speaking as a historian, what we know about about Soviet and American decision-making during the Cuban missile crisis offers a serious caution regarding game theory assumptions of rationality. Excomm was an exercise in attempting rationality but the "fog of war" was so dangerously opaque as to render such intentions almost moot. The problem of information was redoubled on the Soviet side due to the nature of the Soviet system and Khrushchev's political conflicts within the Presidium
Dave at
The Glittering Eye - "
Obama’s Proposal to Break the Impasse on Iran (Updated)"
Dave gives his trademark serious evaluation to
Senator Obama's proposal to give a presidential-level investment in diplomatic talks with Iran and he's right about Obama's monocausal explanation of Iranian behavior.
While I am in favor of serious diplomatic negotiations withIran, I'm not crazy about a foreign policy neophyte like Obama a) taking a personal, presidential, lead in negotiating strategy - that's what the secretary of state is for when the president is green; and b) staking a brand-new administration's prestige on the outcome of negotiations with as difficult and hostile a diplomatic adversary as the Iranians. We don't need to unilaterally ratchet up the pressure on ourselves for a deal when enough real-world, strategic concerns abound.
Dan of tdaxp - "
Automaticity (Automation of Schemata)"Dan's research is investigating a crucial cognitive process, one without which we'd have been hard-pressed to have gotten out of the stone age.
Shlok has been published in
Pragati: The Indian National Interest Review with an article on Naxalite Rage ( no link). Congrats, Shlok !!
CKR - "
The Strategery Article"
Cheryl Rofer identifies strategic paralysis at the heart of the Bush administration, for which she blames the president. I agree, though for different reasons. One reason would be the self-crippling, insularity of the information-flow around Mr. Bush and his key advisers (which ultimately, is also Bush's fault. A president pretty much gets the national security process he really wants to have). Only part of this distortion is ideological, much of it is court politics to keep control of the king's ear, so to speak. Hadley's origins as a national security expert, for example, were in the Kissingerian-dominated Ford administration, yet he reputedly leads the pack to "shoot the messenger" on Iraq, among the inner circle.
That's it!
Labels: recommended reading
RECOMMENDED READINGTop Billing! "
'Band of Brothers' Kinship Endures"
Easy Company's new authors, William "Wild Bill " Guarnere and Edward "Babe" Heffron.Having been the focus of several best selling military histories, including
Band of Brothers and an acclaimed
HBO miniseries of the same name, two veterans of the celebrated "Easy Company" have
told their own story in a joint memoir
Brothers in Battle, Best of Friends.
Matt Armstrong -in
GOOD Magazine - "
America Should Hire al-Qaeda’s PR Agent"
A short but pungent critique about fortress embassies and IO incompetence.
Swedish Meatballs Confidential - "
You Can't Polish a Turd"
Well...that's quite an icebreaker of a post heading.
Pundita - "
Strategic Communication: how to get your message across when the enemy's agitprop is better than yours"
Pundita takes a break from her excellent, in-depth, coverage of Burma to comment at length on one of my prior IO posts, taking the counterintuitive path in her conclusion.
Kings of War -"
Smart army but what is it good for?"
Critique of the Kilcullen/Nagl COIN transformation from the Brit perspective.
William McCallister at
SWJ Blog -"
Pamphlet: COIN and Irregular Warfare in a Tribal Society "(
read the pamphlet here -PDF)
More of a journal article (72 pages) than a pamphlet, McCallister gives a substantive overview and analysis of working with tribesmen.
That's it !
Labels: recommended reading
RECOMMENDED READINGBetter late than never - yes ?
Top Billing! Edge Perspectives With John Hagel - "
Convergence or Divergence?"
I think Hagel operates on the theory that your blog will always have fantastic posts if you only write ten or twelve of them per year.
Steve DeAngelis at
ERMB - "
Radical Collaboration" and "
Complexity and Resilience"
Complexity and Radical Collaboration are two elements of operating at "the intersection", the creative verge of multiple domains. This is the field of play for the horizontal thinker! More on this topic very soon but read Steve's take first.
Haft of the Spear -"
Words are Important" and "
this is funny"
Tanji en fuego !!
Fabius Maximus - "
Beyond Insurgency: An End to Our War in Iraq"
Part of a
DNI series by FM on Iraq. Some of which is sensible and some of which will provoke the readership and cause gnashing of teeth - perhaps on both ends of the political spectrum.
Thoughts Illustrated - "
What goes around, comes around! " and "
Too many ripples in the pond? "
The first post by Dave is some tech history and the second deals with an important concept (ROA) for anyone considering issues of attention scarcity.
The Long Tail - "
Social Networking is a feature, not a destination"
Thoughtful commentary on the cultural-technological evolution of social networking apps by
Chris Anderson, author of
The Long Tail.
The Small Wars Journal Volume 9 (PDF)
'Nuff said.
That's it !
Labels: recommended reading
RECOMMENDED READINGWow - seems like I just did this....
Swedish Meatballs Confidential - "
Financial Warfare 101"
Generally, governments do more economic damage to themselves through bad fiscal, regulatory and monetary policies than they could ever suffer through international sanctions or sabotage, but mucking around with market instruments might be a sharp blow to the solar plexus. Beware feedback loops, however.
Complexity and Social Networking Blog -"
Campaign contributions and the network of hedgers"
Mapping the California "Big Donors" who are hedging between Obama and Clinton. Tailor made for the political geek.
Haft of the Spear - "
everything old is new again"
A depressing political signal, I agree. Hopefully, we'll be pleasantly surprised.
Thomas P.M. Barnett - "
What our 'lost year' in Iraq ends up costing America"
Counting the costs of disconnecting from the strategic and grand strategic levels of war in Iraq.
Below A Rare Photograph Of A Barnett Ancestor Engaging in Grand Strategy:
Labels: recommended reading
RECOMMENDED READINGTop Billing! SWJ Blog - "
General Petraeus / Ambassador Crocker - Boots on the Ground Assessment"
Dave and
Bill should be thanked - the post includes access to the full transcript and briefing slides. How many bloggers in the next few days are going to bother reading in full
before launching into their pre-scripted ( and largely cocked up) talking points ?
Co-Top Billing! CKR - "
The Presidential Candidates’ Foreign Policy Statements: Early Observations" plus "
The Presidential Candidates’ Foreign Policy Statements: Rudolph Giuliani" and "
The Presidential Candidates’ Foreign Policy Statements: John Edwards"
Kudos to
Cheryl Rofer for the heavy lifting on this important series.
Callimachus - "
Contemptible"
I never liked
Brian De Palma anyway. Overrated ripoff artist at his best.
Col. Pat Lang - "
Petraeus and Crocker - Interesting "
The colonel gives his " old hand" take on the report testimony
Nonpartisan - "
9/11: The Mouse that Roared "
NP, the motive force behind
ProgressiveHistorians blog, writes from the Left in the first of a 9/11 series, with a critique of
Orson Scott Card (which will interest some readers here) and he draws on the actuarial argument about terrorism risk assessment ( also of interest).
Soob - "
The Other Long War "
Nice post. I'd say bite the bullet and decriminalize. Addicts will then be a public health issue but the global revenue flows of narcotics trafficking will no longer be a national security issue.
Steve DeAngelis -"
Explaining Development-in-a-Box™"
Required reading for understanding the evolution of the Sys-Admin spectrum.
That's it!
Labels: recommended reading
RECOMMENDED READINGGoing to open with the center-Left today and close with the center-Right.
Top Billing!: CKR at
Whirledview -"
The Necessity of the U.S. Nuclear Deterrent: A White Paper"
This post, which grew out of
a discussion with Cernig at The Newshoggers, is important because
Cheryl Rofer brings professional experience in nuclear arms issues to the table. She also identifies serious weaknesses in the analytical approach used by the authors of the white paper. I will have further commentary about the state of American nuclear deterrence in a later post.
Cernig at
The Newshoggers - "
What's the U.S. Nuclear Policy? "
Here Cernig responds to CKR's post and moves into the realm of specific proliferation and nuclear security problem states like Pakistan.
Dr. Daniel Nexon at
Duck of Minerva - "
Concert of Democracies: the liberal internationalist case"
Dr. Nexon critiques both
Ivo Daalder's and
Robert Kagan's "Concert of Democracies"
opinion-editorial and the bitter Left-blogospheric reaction it incurred, by laying out a liberal case for a democratic club ( note to self: I should critique this as well).
The fact that this case has to be laid out at all - and probably is regarded as counterintuitive by Leftist bloggers, if not openly scorned - demonstrates how far the American left has wandered away from the values of traditional American liberalism as expounded by people like Adlai Stevenson or Franklin Roosevelt ( how would the left blogosphere have greeted the Atlantic Charter ?).
Matt at
MountainRunner - "
Two surveys on robots and war"
Matt following up on his prior research post on robotics and warfare.
Dave Dilegge at
SWJ Blog - "
Words of Wisdom - Let the Warfighters Focus on the Real Issues"
An officer in Iraq weighs in on the antics of the media, the blogosphere and one Private Scott Thomas Beauchamp.
Rick Moran at
Right Wing Nuthouse - "
IS THIS HEAVEN? NO. IT’S IOWA"
I have not followed the GOP race with much attention to detail but Rick has and he knows his inside baseball. Laboring under an incumbent president of their own party, far from election day, makes it difficult for the Republican candidates to get the same media splash as their Democratic counterparts. Or money, for that matter.
Colonel Austin Bay - "
Quick US Exit From Iraq: Seven Scenarios"
A staccato burst of Iraqi end games from a journalist/novelist/soldiering blogfriend.
That's it!
Labels: recommended reading
RECOMMENDED READINGFirst, a hearty congratulations to
Curtis Gale Weeks for expanding his impressive stable of bloggers at
Dreaming 5GW. In addition to himself,
Arherring,
Purpleslog and
Dan of tdaxp we will now enjoy the writing of
Shane Deichman and
subadei. An excellent combination!
Frank Hoffman at
SWJ Blog - "
The Proverbial Contest"
Soob - "
Barack's World"
The Strategist - "
The White Man's Anger"
Colonel W. Patrick Lang - "
O'Hanlon, Pollack and Bernard Fall"
AFJ Roundtable - "
What's America's grand plan?"
That's it!
Labels: recommended reading
BOOKS ARE SIGNPOSTS ON THE ROAD OF LIFE
"I cannot live without books" - Thomas Jefferson
First, I'd like to thank
Dr. Barnett and
Dan of tdaxp for the kind remarks and links the past few days. Both men have often provoked me to new thoughts or reconsidered views and it is nice to know that I can return the favor on occasion.
Tom had a post Sunday entitled "
Why the grand strategist/visionary needs the discipline of books" that echoed something I've long believed. Something
Lexington Green, in his enviably book-lined home, probably would agree with,
a) First, there's really no substitute for a good "hard" book.
b) Fiction becomes a guilty pleasure.
Perhaps, the physicists and mathematicians among us (
Von,
Shane,
Wiggins) will put a word in for the elegance of the mathematical equation, but for me, the supremacy of the book reigns without a rival. As I reflect on the evolution of my thinking as a teen and an adult, inevitably there are many books and a handful of people who leap to mind. Many, many, books and very, very, few people.
As much as I love history, the best reading I have done, in terms of determined, sustained, thought, involved philosophy and economics - Aristotle, Plato, Marx, Adam Smith, John Stuart Mill, Keynes, Galbraith, Von Mises, Von Hayek, Nietzsche, Marcus Aurelius, Ayn Rand, Milton Friedman, Machiaveli, Kuhn -because it trained my mind to accept the discipline of formal logic. Logic is invaluable for a rational mind but wisdom is discerning logic's limitations of functioning within paradigms and that the paradigms themselves are tools for the mind to understand a part of reality; and not one of these paradigms is sufficient to encompass the whole. You have to synthesize, learn, adapt - there is no point at which you " rest" or become complacent with your expertise.
The joy is in the journey and not in the destination.
Labels: barnett, book, cognition, economics, education, horizontal thinking, personal, philosophy, recommended reading, tdaxp
RECOMMENDED READINGThe nice thing about falling behind on this feature is that good material builds up. Hoo-HA!
Thomas P.M. Barnett - "
Managing China's Ascent"
Books are intellectual "
auctoritas". The blog is fun. Syndication is nice but op-eds in a few print outlets -
The New York Times,
The Washington Post,
Time,
Newsweek and
U.S. News & World Report - are the big time influencers with the old line establishment. Nice work Tom!
Dan of tdaxp - "
Dreaming 5GW"
I was certain that
Boyd 2007 would spark a new series out of Dan; here he will delve into the intuitive conflict of fifth generation warfare.
Fabius Maximus - "
America takes another step towards the “Long War”Part I"
Fabius draws a contrast with the start of the Cold War to question some of the operative premises of the GWOT. There is also a sustained critique of the COIN philosophy of
LTC. David Kilcullen.1 Raindrop - "
William Gibson Thinks You Should Go to Metricon"
Gunnar is one of those guys who deserves to have me link to him more often than I do, a true expert in IT security as well as a Gibson fan ( seems to be a common thread among
Zenpundit readers; I am halfway through
Neuromancer, my first Gibson read)
Daniel Nexon - "
Toward a neo-neo-Reaganite foreign policy "
Dr. Nexon, much in demand for Harry Potter interviews these days, critiques
Donald Kagan's grasp of grand strategy, giving both praise and criticism. I like the term "neo-neo-Reganite" too - something to be said for reviving the most effective aspects of Reagan foreign policy.
:O)William Lind - "
How to Win in Iraq"
A number of readers, including
Morgan, have urged that I read Lind's piece. As someone who grew up reading
Ayn Rand, Russell Kirk, Albert Jay Nock, and
Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn, it's weird for me to see a genuine paleoconservative like Bill Lind enunciating a grand strategy of conserving the state. Yet the global environment has changed and the Burkean roots of conservatism are finding political traction, at least in some quarters.
PARAMETERS -"
A Social Network Approach to Understanding an Insurgency " by
Brian ReedParticularly appropriate paradigm for tribal societies where networks come " hard wired" by genetics as well as by social, political and economic choices.
That's it!
Labels: recommended reading
RECOMMENDED READINGI return, fairly sunburnt and weary, from the wedding of a close friend but, now, it is time to blog ! Starting with recommended reading:
RealClear Politics - "
The Return of Authoritarian Great Powers"
H-Diplo Op-Ed "
Whither Iraq? A Commentary for Americans” by
Dr. Sally MarksEdge Perspectives - "
Unanswered Questions at Supernova 2007"
Thoughts Illustrated - "
Trust Metrics for Social Networks "
Thomas P.M. Barnett - "
Army America needs versus the wars Americans prefer to wage"
Pre-Boyd 2007 picks:
John Robb -"
A PRIVATE SECTOR WAR IN IRAQ?" and "
JOURNAL: Corporate Armies in Russia"
Dan of tdaxp - "
The Importance of 5GW" and "
Describing the Military-Industrial-Sysadmin-Complex: How We Will Win the 5GW to Shrink the Gap"
Armchair Generalist - "
Overplaying The Bioterrorist Threat"
While I do not agree with AG's politics, his blog is excellent, particularly on CBW issues.
SWJ Blog -
Josh Manchester's "
Counterinsurgents Should Consider A "Fabrication Cell" and
Bing West's "
Insurgent Media vs. The Strongest Tribe".
Small Wars Journal publisher
Bill Nagl has also issued
a call for papers. I think we should take this seriously; there are many excellent ideas kicked around in rough form on listservs, on SWC threads and on blogs that are never carried downfield and get developed into a peer-reviewed or policy journal level of quality. That's a shame.
Admittedly, I'm as guilty of this as anyone else, but let us, in the aftermath of
Boyd 2007, try to give back by making a formal submission in the arena of ideas. If our work doesn't make the cut, fine, at least we tried to give something back. Consider it.
That's it
Labels: recommended reading